Thursday, 21 August 2014

C’est Cidre. Not Cider.


The title just refers to the fact that I am completely baffled by the slogan for Stella Artois. I mean, what?
First blog for a while. That’s largely because nothing has changed in the housing market and I have nothing new to say! Not that I generally do. It’s also because I have so much work to do, I don’t know where to start, so I’m not going to. I’m going to write a blog post for ten minutes.

I still as a surveyor on a daily basis see an awful lot of money flooding into the London market from all over the globe, pushing out baby boomers into the regions, retiring to their orchards in Sussex and Hampshire to start a Handmade Artisan Cider business, having made hundreds of thousands of pounds on selling their little box in Fulham (millions in the case of Fulham, really) and pricing out the locals. The general mood now I think seems to be of resignation at the status quo: if you’re under 35 and don’t have parental help (ie your parents don’t own their own home), you will never buy, and spend your life on a rolling periodic tenancy. This seems to be accepted now. What that means the country will be like in 10 or even 20 years, no one seems to think about.

One thing that has changed actually, after ranting on this blog for quite a while on how Carney seemed to have bewitched the media and they seem to be oblivious of the fact that he contradicts himself almost constantly (so do I, but I'm not in charge of the economy): the media are starting to turn against him now, and even report his actual words that come out of his actual mouth. Fickle eh?

The Canadian property market, which he stoked into the biggest asset boom in the Western hemisphere before he came to do the same for Osborne here, is now starting to implode, but we’ll ignore that for now.

Let’s focus instead on another nation that is also famous chiefly for being shit at cricket: France. President Hollande has today convened an emergency cabinet, largely in response to the housing market there going into what Le Monde describe as a ‘meltdown’. But in French, obviously. Une meltdown.

What number have new housing starts in France dropped to? 306,000. Meltdown!

Meanwhile in the UK, “the Government’s Long Term Economic Plan Is Getting Britain Building Again”, and our starts have grown to…possibly 150,000, if we’re lucky. Half a French meltdown. Une demi-meltdown.

And we at OP have just had yet another planning application turned down for no apparent reason, so we’re taking it to committee. So that looks like a possbile 149,999.

Still, at least housebuilders’ profits are up almost 50%, and the baby boomer rentier class can retire in comfort to their orchards.

More Cidre anyone?

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